
Weekly value-added in 5 minutes
Good day strategists,
Last week, we talked about value-based selling strategies an closed our Sales4Procurement series. The episode was about exploring how businesses can align their offerings with the values and needs of their customers. This week, we shift our focus to a critical aspect of both traditional & modern business operations: Geopolitics and their influence on international supply chain management (SCM). In this series, we explore the central role geopolitics plays in shaping global supply chains and sourcing decisions. In our first episode today, we highlight the basics we need to know and understand before diving deeper into the topic.
In today’s email
An introduction to geopolitics for SCM.
SCM takeaways.
Book recommendations.
C2B takeaway.
GEOPOLITICS FOR SCM
I. Navigating Trade Wars
→ Trade Disputes and Their Impact on Global Supply Chains:
Definition: Understanding how geopolitical tensions influence trade policies and international commerce.
Explanation: Geopolitical conflicts between nations can lead to tariffs, trade embargoes, and disruptions in the flow of goods.
Examples:
The ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China has led to tariffs on billions of dollars' worth of goods, impacting various industries such as technology, manufacturing, and agriculture.
Brexit negotiations have introduced uncertainty into European trade, with potential implications for supply chains across sectors like automotive, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage.
Sanctions imposed on Russia by Western countries have disrupted energy markets and affected the supply of commodities like oil and natural gas globally.
II. Regional Instabilities
→ Regional Conflicts and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Definition: Assessing the risks posed by geopolitical instabilities in key regions.
Explanation: Political unrest or conflicts in certain regions can disrupt supply chains, affecting production and distribution.
Examples:
Political unrest in Hong Kong and protests in Thailand have disrupted transportation and logistics networks in Southeast Asia, impacting the flow of goods and raw materials.
Tensions in the South China Sea have raised concerns about maritime security, potentially affecting shipping routes and the movement of goods between Asia and other regions.
Civil conflicts in the Middle East, such as the ongoing war in Yemen and the Syrian civil war, have disrupted oil production and distribution, influencing global energy markets and supply chains.
III. Resource Scarcity
→ Geopolitical Factors in Resource Procurement
Definition: Examining how geopolitical factors influence access to critical resources.
Explanation: Competition for resources such as rare earth minerals or agricultural products can lead to supply chain bottlenecks.
Examples:
Competition for rare earth minerals, essential in electronics manufacturing, has intensified amid geopolitical tensions between China, the leading producer, and other countries reliant on these resources.
Disputes over water resources in regions like the Nile River basin and the Indus River system have raised concerns about agricultural productivity and food security, impacting global supply chains for commodities like grains and cotton.
Geopolitical tensions in regions rich in natural resources, such as the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) for cobalt and lithium, have raised ethical and logistical challenges for companies sourcing these materials for products like electric vehicle batteries.
IV. Infrastructure Investments
→ Geopolitical Influence on Infrastructure Development
Definition: Analyzing the role of geopolitical interests in shaping infrastructure projects.
Explanation: Infrastructure development projects driven by geopolitical motives can alter trade routes and supply chain dynamics.
Examples:
China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) aims to enhance connectivity and infrastructure development across Asia, Africa, and Europe. Investments in ports, railways, and highways have the potential to reshape trade routes and supply chain logistics globally.
The geopolitical competition in the Arctic region has led to increased infrastructure investments in icebreaker ships, ports, and navigational aids to capitalize on the opening of new shipping routes due to melting sea ice. These developments could alter global trade patterns and supply chain strategies.
Strategic investments in port facilities by countries like the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, and Oman aim to position themselves as key hubs for global trade, leveraging their geographical locations and political stability to attract shipping traffic and investment in logistics infrastructure.
V. Regulatory Changes
→ Geopolitical Regulations and Compliance Challenges
Definition: Understanding how geopolitical shifts necessitate regulatory adaptations.
Explanation: Changes in trade agreements or geopolitical alliances may require companies to adjust their compliance strategies.
Examples:
The renegotiation of trade agreements such as NAFTA (now USMCA) has introduced changes in regulations governing cross-border trade between North American countries, impacting supply chain strategies and compliance requirements for businesses operating in the region.
Brexit has led to regulatory changes affecting trade between the United Kingdom and the European Union, including customs procedures, tariffs, and product standards. Companies are adapting their supply chains to mitigate disruptions and comply with new regulations.
Sanctions imposed by the United States and the European Union on countries like Iran and Venezuela have created challenges for companies engaged in international trade, requiring them to navigate complex regulatory landscape
SCM takeaways
Geopolitical factors have a profound impact on supply chain resilience, risk management, and strategic decision-making. Understanding and navigating these complexities are essential for procurement professionals to mitigate risks and optimize supply chain efficiency.
BOOK RECOMMENDATIONS
"The World Is Flat" by Thomas L. Friedman. The beginning of the twenty-first century will be remembered, Friedman argues, not for military conflicts or political events, but for a whole new age of globalization - a 'flattening' of the world. The explosion of advanced technologies now means that suddenly knowledge pools and resources have connected all over the planet, levelling the playing field as never before, so that each of us is potentially an equal - and competitor - of the other. Click here for the German version of this book.
"The Grand Chessboard" by Zbigniew Brzezinski. Bestselling author and eminent foreign policy scholar Zbigniew Brzezinski's classic book on American's strategic mission in the modern world In The Grand Chessboard , renowned geostrategist Zbigniew Brzezinski delivers a brutally honest and provocative vision for American preeminence in the twenty-first century.
"The New Silk Roads" by Peter Frankopan. From the internationally bestselling author of The Silk Roads: everything you need to know about the present and future of the world 'Masterly mapping out of a new world order' Evening Standard 'Frankopan is a brilliant guide to terra incognita' The Times Peter Frankopan's highly anticipated follow-up to the 'Book of the Decade', The New Silk Roads takes a fresh look at the network of relationships being formed along the length and breadth of the Silk Roads today. Click here for the German version of this book.
C2B Takeaway
Investment Decisions: Geopolitical events affect global markets, influencing investment opportunities and risks. For instance, tensions between major economies like the US and China can impact stock prices and currency exchange rates, guiding individuals in making informed investment decisions.

Consumer Goods Availability: Trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts can disrupt the availability of consumer goods. For example, tariffs imposed on imported products may lead to higher prices or limited availability of certain items, prompting consumers to consider alternatives or adjust their purchasing habits accordingly.
Environmental Impact Consideration: Geopolitical factors also influence environmental issues, such as resource extraction and consumption patterns. For instance, conflicts over natural resources like oil or minerals can contribute to environmental degradation, highlighting the importance of sustainable consumption practices and supporting eco-friendly initiatives.
We learned today
Geopolitical tensions shape global supply chains.
Understanding regional dynamics is crucial for risk management.
Adaptability is key in navigating regulatory changes.
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